Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 3.689876 3.927959 4.184140 4.482218 4.822041 5.200526 5.658486
2025-04-06 3.313356 3.622305 3.972282 4.404070 4.931341 5.566974 6.412649
2025-04-13 2.990724 3.331458 3.731987 4.248422 4.914368 5.772609 7.017667
2025-04-20 2.839001 3.221996 3.689408 4.320755 5.185425 6.390680 8.343243
2025-04-27 2.716881 3.134487 3.661570 4.405032 5.485081 7.119161 10.125817
2025-05-04 2.642200 3.097926 3.692779 4.570389 5.929980 8.194463 13.124603
2025-05-11 2.541045 3.016820 3.654488 4.630328 6.227497 9.133694 16.695193
2025-05-18 2.430613 2.913754 3.574841 4.616755 6.402445 9.919694 20.930074
2025-05-25 2.286007 2.754006 3.401255 4.437279 6.257682 10.008608 23.234494
2025-06-01 2.185447 2.648908 3.298400 4.358392 6.281381 10.489758 28.248062
2025-06-08 2.106111 2.568540 3.225393 4.319233 6.372428 11.180083 36.949252
2025-06-15 2.052322 2.520878 3.196996 4.350224 6.607161 12.378495 58.807731
2025-06-22 1.975829 2.443535 3.128746 4.325326 6.768546 13.647770 125.206170
2025-06-29 1.891824 2.351096 3.031348 4.239944 6.787971 14.543738 465.039015
2025-07-06 1.799985 2.242879 2.902785 4.086400 6.626949 14.723256 NaN
2025-07-13 1.760507 2.210128 2.891477 4.147472 6.990949 17.490267 NaN
2025-07-20 1.726137 2.182921 2.886820 4.220884 7.416377 21.509838 NaN
2025-07-27 1.707438 2.178177 2.918327 4.369872 8.110712 29.877727 NaN
2025-08-03 1.673042 2.147163 2.903144 4.422305 8.558296 39.754092 NaN
2025-08-10 1.630429 2.101104 2.858875 4.407869 8.797061 50.549916 NaN
2025-08-17 1.567207 2.020028 2.749390 4.241541 8.477949 49.289147 NaN
2025-08-24 1.522155 1.966093 2.684706 4.167974 8.469886 56.466264 NaN
2025-08-31 1.485554 1.924134 2.638733 4.131228 8.586894 71.388780 NaN